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Mathematics & Probability

Regression to the Mean

Mathematics & Probability · Francis Galton

1 min read

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Overview

Extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones — exceptional performance contains a luck component that does not persist.

How to cite

Faster Than Normal. “Regression to the Mean Mental Model.” fasterthannormal.co/mental-models/regression-to-the-mean. Accessed 2026.

On this page

  • Overview